Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.046436 0.050537 0.054695 0.059220 0.063998 0.068887 0.074260
2025-01-12 0.039549 0.045515 0.051789 0.058855 0.066563 0.074691 0.083884
2025-01-19 0.035099 0.042475 0.050490 0.059785 0.070204 0.081465 0.094495
2025-01-26 0.030679 0.038969 0.048260 0.059331 0.072050 0.086099 0.102681
2025-02-02 0.027488 0.036518 0.046925 0.059630 0.074543 0.091325 0.111464
2025-02-09 0.025288 0.034993 0.046464 0.060769 0.077874 0.097427 0.121222
2025-02-16 0.024101 0.034557 0.047188 0.063224 0.082697 0.105246 0.132998
2025-02-23 0.020901 0.031336 0.044288 0.061094 0.081880 0.106323 0.136803
2025-03-02 0.018748 0.029282 0.042677 0.060401 0.082677 0.109217 0.142686
2025-03-09 0.016965 0.027571 0.041378 0.059982 0.083715 0.112335 0.148794
2025-03-16 0.016349 0.027392 0.042028 0.062020 0.087805 0.119174 0.159431
2025-03-23 0.015451 0.026747 0.042000 0.063136 0.090707 0.124551 0.168312
2025-03-30 0.014465 0.025935 0.041740 0.063970 0.093313 0.129669 0.177038
2025-04-06 0.013129 0.024517 0.040571 0.063534 0.094244 0.132684 0.183187
2025-04-13 0.012357 0.023885 0.040454 0.064486 0.096972 0.137972 0.192200
2025-04-20 0.011214 0.022593 0.039326 0.063993 0.097750 0.140759 0.198080
2025-04-27 0.010403 0.021760 0.038807 0.064300 0.099565 0.144862 0.205629
2025-05-04 0.009902 0.021391 0.038938 0.065495 0.102563 0.150496 0.215143
2025-05-11 0.009797 0.021672 0.040039 0.068078 0.107465 0.158639 0.227919
2025-05-18 0.008506 0.019829 0.037832 0.065834 0.105705 0.158036 0.229447
2025-05-25 0.007685 0.018732 0.036709 0.065104 0.105983 0.160074 0.234359
2025-06-01 0.006997 0.017814 0.035814 0.064662 0.106627 0.162576 0.239867
2025-06-08 0.006893 0.017977 0.036648 0.066808 0.110925 0.169981 0.251818